Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 223.404985 251.509931 282.757723 320.253713 364.258672 414.549654 476.781591
2024-10-20 180.292253 216.807757 261.004840 319.136387 394.634014 490.858224 625.243403
2024-10-27 150.736822 188.594275 236.852932 304.101519 397.391431 525.369855 719.988619
2024-11-03 139.811993 181.150474 236.340630 317.412705 437.035579 613.181846 904.770154
2024-11-10 132.321296 176.717967 238.439043 333.477313 481.839995 715.321186 1135.000495
2024-11-17 121.737205 166.472660 230.678133 333.342799 501.164657 780.369371 1319.184228
2024-11-24 110.739483 154.343311 218.561885 324.481342 504.414801 818.293590 1462.867574
2024-12-01 101.621646 144.047596 207.988571 316.445799 507.300436 855.267279 1613.549751
2024-12-08 97.475196 140.815324 207.857512 325.275954 540.524849 953.999435 1922.301121
2024-12-15 92.261982 135.418855 203.659154 326.485794 559.760745 1028.973483 2201.870612
2024-12-22 86.249801 128.246673 195.859158 320.341221 563.883960 1073.357922 2421.538707
2024-12-29 82.067496 123.688339 191.970629 320.728907 580.762787 1148.423712 2748.790607
2025-01-05 76.566947 116.704000 183.598307 312.310309 579.386424 1184.347386 2988.366688
2025-01-12 72.772124 112.319537 179.404314 311.456301 594.063668 1262.180268 3391.792162
2025-01-19 67.258937 104.640327 168.768073 296.859326 576.539961 1256.589835 3523.440604
2025-01-26 66.228836 104.582161 171.780199 309.770061 622.838532 1426.808055 4356.843227
2025-02-02 65.571624 105.105724 175.866739 325.344205 678.243356 1638.538444 5499.057175
2025-02-09 62.935325 101.914459 172.709438 325.213829 695.434641 1745.374185 6282.994903
2025-02-16 59.486527 97.042961 165.981216 316.623621 689.914581 1781.765326 6769.384897
2025-02-23 56.393146 92.648604 159.879705 308.832396 685.385514 1820.759804 7304.297239
2025-03-02 55.346330 91.965800 160.994974 317.393988 725.935389 2021.662289 8906.343053
2025-03-09 53.569132 89.805448 158.997478 318.566882 746.455515 2160.574103 10302.914879
2025-03-16 51.185510 86.365676 154.176149 312.609577 745.789178 2222.395201 11269.044063